What the Experts Are Saying Trade-wise…..

Earlier today, our buddy and the blog’s founder, Chip Bailey, pointed me to a “prospective” article on ESPN.

Of the seven proposed trades, three involve the Astros, which makes the article of interest to fans around these parts.

Let’s take a look at the three proposed trades for the Astros:

  1. 3B Isaac Paredes and cash to the Pirates for LHP Hunter Barco and 3B Jared Triolo

So, let’s see, we are going to trade Paredes, a good-looking bat, along with some bucks to buy down a not-so-high salary for a left-handed starter, Barco, who has only pitched 3 innings in the majors, and for a good glove, not so great hitting 3B in Triolo, who will be arb-eligible in 2027.

Pluses – Barco has 6 seasons of team control, and Triolo has 4 seasons (if they still want him). Barco is a lefty, and the team is short of lefty starters with Framber Valdez gone. Also, perhaps Triolo will be less of a problem to sit and backup, second, third, and SS, than Paredes.

Minuses – Barco was OK at AAA, but (and stop me if you have heard this before) his 5+ walks per 9 innings in the minors do not bode well for the future or in distinguishing him from all the current pitchers fighting it out for the fifth and sixth spots in the Astros rotation.  Triolo is either a better-hitting Nick Allen or a much-worse-hitting Isaac Paredes. And the thing about the Astros is that unlike when they pick up pitchers and improve them, hitters come in and perform the same or often worse here.

Dan P says – Nope! If we are going to trade Paredes lets get something we need like a lefty OF and/or a big arm reliever.

Tough for Dan P to look down on any trade of Walker. The only question about the 2025 season – was this a season where Walker had reduced stats because of his age or because he struggled with playing in his new digs, Daiken Park? His stats on the road were comparable to his career numbers – .265 BA/ .311 OBP/ .793 OPS/ 19 HRs / 54 RBIs.His stats at home were just plain bad – .202 BA/ .279 OBP/ .622 OPS/ 8 HRs/ 34 RBIs. Was he just overwhelmed by trying to pull balls into the Crawford Boxes? Otherwise, I would like to see Paredes’ bat in the lineup everyday.

Pluses – Walker came across as Jose Abreu 2.0 in his first season in Houston and his 177 Ks was especially off-putting. Anyway, to off-load most of the 2 yrs/$40 million left on his contract is attractive. Rodriguez looked quite good in a short call-up with the big club and is fully controllable. He is just 22 and pitched solidly at AA and AAA in 2025.

Minuses – If Walker had hit the same at home as he did on the road, he would be around 40 homers and 110 RBIs. That would look good in this lineup. Rodriguez did have a low K rate at AAA in 2025, but that could be based on a small sample size.

Dan P says this is a decent trade, especially if the Astros are sending half of Walker’s salary along with him. Is it the best choice? I don’t know.

This is a rather odd, suggested trade, since the Angels 3 weeks ago traded LHP Brock Burke and Minor league RHP Chris Clark in a three team trade to bring Josh Lowe back to them. Did he already disappoint them enough to send him packing? Not likely.

Pluses – Lowe hits left-handed. He has played all three OF positions in the majors (Meyers has only played CF). Lowe would only make $2.6 million in 2026 as compared to $3.5 million for Meyers. Lowe is a year and a half younger and has an additional season of control.

Minuses – Meyers is coming off his best hitting season in the majors (though he may be set to regress to the mean). Meyers has been a premier fielder in CF (with a noodle arm).  Lowe, after having a Chas McCormick-ish 2023 (20 HRs, 83 RBIs, .835 OPS) has had two seasons of fast diminishing returns.

Dan P says even if the Angels want to send Lowe packing, do the Astros want to latch onto someone whose hitting is on a downward spiral, even if he hits left-handed? Isn’t that how they got Jesus Sanchez? Dan P says – no.

That’s what Dan P thinks. Your turn….

9 responses to “What the Experts Are Saying Trade-wise…..”

  1. If Parades is traded, the Astros MUST get, at least, a very good return for him, even if it is only minor leaguers coming over, and promising ones at that.

    Walker, on the other hand, should be traded for a water cooler if the other club would take his entire salary.

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  2. I just don’t think the Astros have much of what other teams want. That makes it hard to make trades. That’s my take Dan.

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  3. None of the trades for Parades makes since at all. They would have to get a left handed OFer. Getting pitching is great but would have to be someone the coaches think they can shape into a mid rotation guy. The trade for Walker is just a salary dump so that’s ok. The Red Sox and Pirates still need a 3B.

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  4. William – around the same time you were commenting – the Red Sox withdrew from the Paredes competition.

    Red Sox Acquire Caleb Durbin In Six-Player Trade – MLB Trade Rumors

    At this point, the Astros may float along as-is and see if a major 1B or 3B goes down and re-engage to trade Walker or Paredes. This could go on well into the season.

    (Now I’ve done it – there should be a trade announced on mlbtraderumor for Paredes any minute now)

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  5. Jonah Heim to Atlanta to be a backup there, apparently, but no official announcement has been made so dollars/years is unknown. Our catching situation concerns me a bit. Aaron Civale for $6M to the A’s who many will remember I was suggesting was a good fit for the Astros. I think he would have been a safer pick with lower ceiling than a couple guys we got, but I’m not complaining.

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  6. So JV is headed to Detroit on a one-year/$13 million deal…but I have other questions…

    It seems the Astros are heating up conversations about trading Paredes for a left-handed outfield bat.

    But isn’t that just trading an overloaded infield to overload your outfield? Adding a lefty-hitting OF would mean other player(s) have to go, right?

    You’ve got Cam Smith, Jake Meyers, Zach Cole slated to start by all accounts, but Jesus Sanchez (lefty-hitting, by the way) will get a large number of ABs you’d think.

    So…
    • Smith.
    • Meyers.
    • Cole.
    • Sanchez.
    • A starting lefty.

    This would appear to push Cole and Sanchez (?) to the bench?

    It just seems like Paredes should bring a much bigger haul than what we’re hearing.

    What am I missing here?

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  7. Just realized that JV will slot in behind Skubal and Framber…right next to Jack Flaherty. Not a bad 1-2-3-4 punch if they stay healthy.

    JV wasn’t bad in the last half…4-3 over 73 IP/2.60 ERA in last 13 games.

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    • $2M salary in 2026 with the other $11M deferred to 2030. Based on how much Jim Crane paid JV there’s no reason he should need the money now, but I’m getting tired of the deferrals.

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