It is probably a good idea to skip looking too deeply at stats this early season unless your HMO has really good coverage on developing ulcers. (I don’t even know if HMOs are a “thang” anymore – they were all the rage a decade or two ago). The point is that looking deeply at stats this early in the season, when a good or bad day can play 52 pickup with your perception of any one player, is like panning for fool’s gold.
- You can get grumpy looking at the Astros’ leading all of baseball with a minuscule 1.69 ERA and gripe that they somehow lost two games so far.
- Or you can worry yourself silly thinking that the team will fall off the planet if the pitching heads back to the norm since the hitters are putting up (for lack of a better word) sucky numbers. A slash of .218 BA/ .294 OBP/ .694 OPS will not win the day for long.
- You can go to Vegas and bet the farm that Kyle Tucker will not finish the season with a .130 BA, nor will Yordan Alvarez (.143 BA), Yuli Gurriel (.167 BA), Jose Altuve (.150 BA), Aledmys Diaz (.150 BA) or the No-dust catching twins of Martin Maldonado (.000 BA) and Jason Castro (.000 BA). Maybe leave the last two out of any combo bet you make. But, as our current president says on his most coherent days, “C’mon, man”.
- The flip side is the huge slashes of the center field duo of Jose Siri ( .455 BA, .538 OBP/ 1.357 OPS ) and Chas McCormick (.438 BA/ .438 OBP/ 1.000 OPS) will not look like that a month from now when the hot cool off.
- Ryne Stanek won’t have a 9.00 ERA. Luis Garcia, Rafael Montero, Pedro Baez, Hector Neris, Blake Taylor and Cristian Javier will likely depart from 0.00 ERAs.
- The Astros scored 5.3 runs/ game in 2022. They have scored 4 runs/game so far this season, but if you take out their 13 run anomaly in Game 2 – they have only scored 2.2 runs per game in the other 5 games. There is an awfully good chance that they will surge back towards 5 runs per game once the core of their lineup warms up.
- You can be sure that Alex Bregman won’t drive in more runs than the number of games he will start (7 RBIs in 5 starts so far). You can be sure that Yuli Gurriel will not end the season with 0 runs and 0 RBIs as he sits right now.
But the base point is don’t get deep into any stat other than W-L at this point in time. If somebody is batting .400 or .100 on June 1, get excited or depressed.