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Mama never said it would be easy


The Astros have a tough row to hoe to get into the playoffs. So, does everybody else. And there are a lot of everybody else’s involved. Boston, Baltimore, New York, Detroit, Kansas City, Seattle and Houston all have reasonable shots at the two playoff spots in the American League with the Red Sox in the cat bird seat with a 2 game lead for the first wild card spot.

In their last 31 games, the Astros have ten games against the first place Texas Rangers and the first place Cleveland Indians. They have six games against their AL West rivals the Seattle Mariners who start Tuesday a game back of the Astros. But they do have some opportunity games against the likes of the Angels, A’s and White Sox.

It feels like if the Astros  can get to September 19th in reasonable shape, the last couple weeks of the season bend their way. They finish the season with 10 games against the Angels and A’s with 3 Mariner games added to the mix.

After a 5 game stumble in mid-August, the Astros have righted the ship against weaker teams and are on an 8-2 run that is raised them to within two games of the second wild card spot.

So the questions for you today are:

  • What percentage chance do you see for the Astros of getting into the playoffs?
  • How many of the 6 games against the Rangers do they need to win?
  • How many of the 31 games left do they need to win?
  • Which other team do you worry the most about for beating the Astros out of that 2nd wild card?
  • If the Astros don’t make the playoffs will 2016 be a successful year?

 

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About Dan P

Dan Peschong is a full time engineer and a long time Astros lover from the days of Joe Morgan to the days of Jose Altuve.

171 comments on “Mama never said it would be easy

  1. Mr. Bill
    August 31, 2016

    Chris Sale is wearing Ross Detwiler’s uni today.

    Like

    • Mr. Bill
      August 31, 2016

      And Detwiler is wearing Sale’s uni. Detroit just beat the White Sox.

      Like

  2. Devin_
    August 31, 2016

    Either Feliz doesn’t know the signs or Gattis has decided getting down to block a ball in the dirt requires too much energy. That’s not a good thing when Feliz is down about 4-5 mph on his fastball today.

    Like

    • Mr. Bill
      August 31, 2016

      Cheers to Devenski, Feliz, and Giles, who came in and slammed shut the door Mr. Fiers and some bad defense left open. 4.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 BB, 6 Ks. That’s how I spell ‘R-E-L-I-E-F’. Cheers also to Springer, Altuve, and Correa for doing what franchise players are supposed to do, and find a way to snatch victory from the clenched jaws of defeat.

      Like

  3. Dan P
    August 31, 2016

    So, after the Springer griping he hits a triple to start the tying rally that still has a chance to be the go ahead rally.

    Like

    • daveb7
      August 31, 2016

      No Springer gripe from me. This guy has played out of position and out of his typical line up slot for most of his ML career and never shows anything but great team oriented enthusiasm. Like I said earlier, not too many 5 WAR guys floating around. But I do worry what this organization might do as he enters his first year of arbitration. In his favor is that he’s the only proven everyday outfielder that we’ve got.

      Like

  4. Dan P
    August 31, 2016

    Man – Altuve and Gattis with huge two out hits. Praying we hang on in the 9th.

    Like

  5. Dan P
    August 31, 2016

    Astros 3 run rally in the 8th brings them a 4-3 win and a sweep of the A’s. Good job guys to come back on a day when they were down 3-0 early.

    Like

  6. Billy Castillo
    August 31, 2016

    This win may be a game changer…

    Like

  7. Diane
    August 31, 2016

    rj, I just now checked in and want to acknowledge you. You surely out-mamaed most everbody. 🙂

    Like

    • sandy
      August 31, 2016

      Yes rj. I’ll second that. Awesome mamma-ing

      Like

  8. rj
    August 31, 2016

    why thank you, thank you very much. (i’d try to swivel my hips like elvis, but something might break)

    Like

  9. rj
    August 31, 2016

    i dont kiss and tell, but i guess i oughta mama and tell. songs in order were from:
    Roomfull of Blues
    Commander Cody
    JJ Cale
    Johnny Winter
    Y’all

    Like

    • Becky⚾
      August 31, 2016

      I went to school with Johnny Winter and his brother Edgar!!

      Liked by 1 person

      • 1oldpro
        August 31, 2016

        I went to school with their father, Old Man.

        Like

      • rj
        August 31, 2016

        too cool becky!!!

        Like

  10. 1oldpro
    August 31, 2016

    I loved Stanton saying the Astro were really flat today, but were able to overcome that and steal a win. That is exactly what happened today. Deja vu 2015!
    Mama, great job of sweeping your house!
    Astros play three in an almost empty MMP, get a sweep and a day off and then play before three huge crowds in Arlington. Should be interesting.

    Like

    • sandy
      August 31, 2016

      PAINFULLY interesting.

      Like

    • Diane
      August 31, 2016

      Oh brother, you mean the Astros played today? I gotta quit my day job. 😦

      Like

  11. Tim
    August 31, 2016

    There is only one explanation for this improbable, impossible win…THE MAGIC PENNY!

    Liked by 2 people

    • Becky⚾
      August 31, 2016

      Keep that penny warm!!! These guys have 13 games of must wins ahead of them!

      Liked by 1 person

    • Kevin
      August 31, 2016

      If that Penny gets us 2 in Arlington , it needs to go into the Astro HOF

      Liked by 1 person

  12. Billy Castillo
    August 31, 2016

    1.5 GB for wildcard now…

    Like

  13. Becky⚾
    August 31, 2016

    I had a long distance phone call, around the 6th inning, and got off when Giles had come in to close the game. I was floored to see the good guys had come back to win! What a group of scrappy players we have! I don’t ever pray for a win, but I sure hope Doug Fister has a special Angel to help him pitch on Friday night! Keuchel is being pushed back a day……not sure why, but let’s hope it’s nothing. I don’t like this team having a day off in between series…..they come off that day playing brain dead.
    Dang……Felix Hernandez melted down in arlington this afternoon, tough to see him get hammered like that, one of the hammers was carlos who.

    Like

    • sandy
      August 31, 2016

      Yeah I saw that. Guess I jinxed (us) by slamming him the other day 😡

      Like

  14. Dan P
    August 31, 2016

    O’s lose – Astros 1 game back in the WC.

    Like

    • Billy Castillo
      August 31, 2016

      Sweet!

      Like

  15. 1oldpro
    August 31, 2016

    Something might be happening. Brady Rodgers only pitched two innings in Tacoma tonight. He struck out the last four batters looking. Then he was removed from the game. Yesterday he was named the RH Full Season All-Star starting pitcher in the PCL. I wonder if he is on his way to Arlington.

    Like

    • Becky⚾
      September 1, 2016

      I’d put money on it!! We need every available arms we can get!!

      Liked by 1 person

      • daveb7
        September 1, 2016

        Brady has already thrown 132 innings, most in his career. We might get a few more out of him, but certainly not more than 150. I’m still not sold on him. I hope we get to see him in a couple of meaningful situations.

        Like

      • 1oldpro
        September 1, 2016

        This off day comes at a good time. If Rodgers does indeed join the team(they have an open 40-man spot and he can join the team as a September callup on an expanded roster), he could pitch is needed this weekend in long relief.
        Peacock will probably join the team in a few days and Hoyt and Gustave probably will, also.
        The day off gives Devenski and Feliz time off so they can be used also this weekend.
        The Astros don’t have a starter that can go deep into games right now, with Keuchel being “tired”, so they will pack their roster with all the available pitchers they have and will probably use them all in the next 13 games.

        Like

    • sandy
      September 1, 2016

      Geese, OP, you almost scared the life outta me.
      The only words I saw were Brady Rodgers and Arlington. For a moment I forgot the Astros were there. My feeble brain saw Rodgers going to the Rangers.

      Liked by 1 person

  16. 1oldpro
    September 1, 2016

    Who are the Astros sending to the Arizona Fall League this year? These guys: http://www.chron.com/sports/astros/article/Astros-prospects-Francis-Martes-David-Paulino-9195595.php

    Like

  17. 1oldpro
    September 1, 2016

    At the end of a 5-2 loss last night, the highest batting average in the Quad Cities lineup was .226. Four of the players were below .200. Quad Cities is 59-74.

    Like

    • Devin_
      September 1, 2016

      Wow, was it just last year they were stacked and unbeatable in the first half?

      Like

      • 1oldpro
        September 1, 2016

        Lancaster has been making a big push for the playoffs and is almost there, so the organization sent most of it’s QC talent to Lancaster and it is paying off(See Tucker, Kyle). The Astros took a lot of talent from CC and moved it up to Fresno, when all of the top prospects went to Houston.
        At that point Lancaster sent pitching and it’s best hitters to CC for their playoffs(See Rogelio Armenteros and others).
        All of this left the cupboard bare in QC, but they made their bed with a horrible first half, so they get to go home right away because of it.

        Like

  18. Diane
    September 1, 2016

    Morning paper quotes Gattis: “…I’m glad it doesn’t feel like last year…now I feel like we’re chasing instead of being chased, and it’s fun.” This might confirm what a few of us thought during the disastrous spring debut, that they were playing too pressurized and uptight. However, I’m not so naïve as to attribute it all to that. I’ll only believe that’s the underlying reason if they extend this winning streak to rest of season and land in the playoffs. If I could just believe in the pitching, I’d believe we still have a chance. Play, babies, play.

    Like

  19. Tim
    September 1, 2016

    Enjoy the day off because these next 13 games will determine the Astros season. I think 88-74 gets them a WC spot. Thus, they really need to go, at least, 7-6 over this next stretch and then finish 10-6 with a much easier schedule down the stretch. We will have a good feeling on Sept. 15th whether the Astros will be one of the WC entries.

    Like

    • 1oldpro
      September 1, 2016

      You are so right. When you think about it, with the position the Astros are in, every game from here on out is a playoff game for them. That is the mentality they need to have right now. Chasing Detroit, Baltimore and Boston and having the Yankees, Royals and Seattle right on their heals, September becomes the beginning of the playoffs.

      Like

    • daveb7
      September 1, 2016

      Problem is if they go 7 and 6, it’s likely that they’ll have to dig out of a hole one more time.

      Like

      • Tim
        September 1, 2016

        Not really. The AL East teams will beat up on each other and the same with Tigers, Indians and Royals. They may be about 2 games back if they go 7-6.

        Like

  20. Kevin
    September 1, 2016

    If they could some how pitch and hit and win 2 this weekend it would be huge for the confidence the rest of the way. Texas is playing so well and cocky right now going to be really, did say really tough challenge I accidentally watched the ESPN interview with Gomez after the game yesterday. In his own way he through us under the bus.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Mr. Bill
      September 1, 2016

      He’s batting .160/.192/.592 with 12 Ks in 26 PAs for his new team. I’d say the bus stops right there.

      Like

      • Devin_
        September 1, 2016

        I’d say someone’s bus ran him over a few times before it stopped.

        Like

      • Kevin
        September 1, 2016

        All true but it was still tough to watch him praising a professional fun winning organization now like the Rangers

        Liked by 1 person

    • sandy
      September 1, 2016

      Hope he goes O’fer however many times he comes to the plate this weekend.

      Like

  21. Mr. Bill
    September 1, 2016

    If we are to have a shot – against the odds, I know – what kind of numbers do you think we would need from any or all of the following guys the rest of the way?

    1. Altuve
    2. Correa
    3. Bregman
    4. Springer
    5. Gurriel
    6. Gattis
    7. Rasmus
    8. Gonzalez
    9. Hernandez
    10. Reed
    11. Kemp
    12. Castro
    13. Keuchel
    14. McHugh
    15. Fiers
    16. Fister
    16. Musgrove
    17. Feliz
    18. Devenski
    19. Gregerson
    20. Giles
    21. Rodgers
    22. Gustave
    23. Hoyt
    24. Harris
    25. Sipp
    26. Neshek
    27. Peacock
    28. Marisnick

    Like

    • 1oldpro
      September 1, 2016

      That’s way too much for me to answer, but I will say that they need June’s team batting stats and at least July’s team pitching stats to get a spot in the playoffs.

      Liked by 1 person

  22. rj
    September 1, 2016

    27, 1, 2, 4, 10, 11, 28, ……..

    Like

  23. Mr. Bill
    September 1, 2016

    Most critical offensively to my thinking are Springer, Bregman, Correa, Gattis, and Rasmus, *f we are to make it, Springer, Bregman and Correa need to hit .320 with OBPs of over .350 the rest of the way. Gattis and Rasmus need to hit .300 with an OPS of over .315. We also need T. Hernandez to hit at least .275/.325, and no one in the starting line-up can hit under .225/.275.

    Like

    • vewill1
      September 1, 2016

      Or we need some shutdown pitching.

      Like

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This entry was posted on August 30, 2016 by in Astros.
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