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Anatomy of a Houston Astros’ streak


Between May 24 and June 26, the Astros have run off an impressive 22-9 streak. A few facts about that run…..

  • The Astros are 5-1 in one-run games in those 31 games
  • They are 8-3 in extra inning ballgames.
  • They are 10-7 on the road
  • They are a tough to beat 12-2 at home
  • They have outscored their opponents 155-114, which is an average of 5 runs to 3.7 runs
  • In their wins only, they have outscored the opponents 136-70, which is basically an average of 6-3
  • On May 24th they were 17-28, fifth out of five in their division
  • They were 10 Games back of Seattle for the division lead and 7.5 games back of Texas for the second Wild Card
  • On June 26 they had charged up to 39-37
  • This put them in second place and 10 GB of Texas for the division lead, but only 1.5 GB of Toronto for the second Wild Card
  • It should be noted that as strong as the Astros have played in the last month, the Rangers have been an insane 24-8

So, can the Astros maintain their charge? Even though the division seems like a mirage a long way in the distance, the wild card is easily in reach. What do you think?

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About Dan P

Dan Peschong is a full time engineer and a long time Astros lover from the days of Joe Morgan to the days of Jose Altuve.

164 comments on “Anatomy of a Houston Astros’ streak

  1. Tim
    June 29, 2016

    It was sure nice to see the Rangers bullpen give up 6 runs in the bottom of the 9th and lose 9-7 to the Yankees. One of the rare times I’m a Yankees fan.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Dan P
      June 29, 2016

      Yaay for the Yanks (spit!!) – that just does not roll off the tongue.

      Like

    • sandy
      June 29, 2016

      It was a beautiful thing.

      Like

  2. sandy
    June 29, 2016

    There’s something cooking with the Reed promotion. Wish I had an idea what.

    Like

    • Becky⚾
      June 29, 2016

      ???????

      Like

    • 1oldpro
      June 29, 2016

      ??????

      Like

    • Devin
      June 29, 2016

      I think you all might be over thinking this one. The problem is that Fresno had Reed, Singleton, Duffy, Moran, and White. Bregman was planned for promotion and they aren’t moving him out of the infield – that is the best place for him long term and his defense needs a lot of work. White was sent down to work. Singleton and Duffy arent playing well enough to justify it. Moran showed that he needs some work. Logjam of mediocrity.

      I’m with you that it has to get broken up, though, and one option is via trade.

      Like

      • daveb7
        June 30, 2016

        So Reed might have gotten promoted to make room in Fresno? He’s a guy that should be playing everyday and we can’t give him that opportunity with the big club. Unless a trade is imminent, I’m still scratching my head.

        Like

      • Devin
        June 30, 2016

        No, he gets promoted to audition for a full time role with Houston. If he fizzles out, they send him down and recall either White, Duffy, or Singleton. With a heavy load of RHP they figured it was a stretch Reed was likely to do well against.

        Like

      • sandy
        June 30, 2016

        But isn’t this a weird thing time to give a tryout? I mean, with a pennant race and all, you’d have to wonder what’s going on.

        Liked by 1 person

      • Devin
        June 30, 2016

        But who is your better option? Since Worth was promoted, Reed was the best hitter at Fresno. I don’t think they see Marwin as a viable 1B solution… especially against RHP.

        I’m sure they wanted to promote or trade Singleton, but his avg around .200 makes that tough.

        Like

      • Tim
        June 30, 2016

        I agree with Devin. Reed had been red hot over the past 2 weeks and with the glut of RHs the Astros were getting ready to face it made sense to call up Reed. Obviously, he is struggling, but it’s only been a few games and the team is still winning. I think once he gets that first hit it will relax him and he will perform adequately. Besides, as Devin stated, it isn’t like the alternatives were any better. Marwin will still get plenty of playing time, but I can see why the Astros prefer Reed and his power potential at 1B.

        Like

      • Steven
        June 30, 2016

        I think Luhnow’s plan was always to call up Reed in June, from ST. He got another year of control, and waited long enough that he may even avoid super 2 – unlikely but we won’t know until the end. I don’t think it’s unusual. Reed’s poor start made it a non issue for him publicly unlike Correa, but he started playing better and he could stick to the plan.

        Like

  3. Becky⚾
    June 29, 2016

    I’m in Dallas visiting my sister and her husband for a few days. When the idiots in arlington, gave it up tonight I had to go to my bedroom and do a happy dance, because my brother in- law was FURIOUS!! I just casually mentioned that our boys just swept the Angels for the second time in two weeks! I can remember McCann doing that to US when we were in the NL!! I loved the look on Banister’S face when that second homerun went outta the park!! HA! HA! HA!!!!!!!

    Liked by 3 people

    • Dan P
      June 30, 2016

      Maybe this is the kind of loss that leads to a bit of a funk. It is crazy that the Astros have gone 25-9 and lost a half game to the Rangers in that time.

      Liked by 1 person

  4. Mr. Bill
    June 30, 2016

    For the upcoming ChiSox series it looks like we draw righty Miguel Gonzalez [5.17 ERA, 1.54 WHIP] in the first game [vs. Fiers], the infamous lefty genius Chris Sale [2.79 ERA, 0.98 WHIP] for the second game [vs. Fister], and lefty Jose Quintana [3.43 ERA, 1.25 WHIP] for the last game before the AS Break [vs. McHugh].

    It is always interesting to play the White Sox. At least we get them at home – and Altuve, Correa, Springer, and Valbuena are hot.

    Like

    • Dan P
      June 30, 2016

      The Astros will reach the halfway point after the second game of the Chisox series – game 81.
      The All Star Break will be a week later after the July 10th game with Oakland.
      This will be a very challenging week end series for our hitters.

      Like

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      Gattis has been hitting well, also, and he had a homer and a single off Sale when we faced him in May. Our record after that loss was 17-25. The Astros are playing a lot differently right now. Almost every guy in our lineup is hitting 50 points higher for the last six weeks than they were for the six weeks before they faced him in May.
      But Game One is where the Astros have been setting the tone for most of their successful series. That’s the one we want to get in our pocket.

      Like

    • Mr. Bill
      June 30, 2016

      I guess all these off-days have me thinking we are closer to the AS Break than we are. Or maybe I am just getting old?

      Like

  5. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    The Altuve extension assumes both parties want one.
    The proposed 8/$160mil pays out an extra $44 million in the next three years that Altuve is already signed for. That is a ton of cash to fork over to anyone who is already signed. I would like to see an extension that looks like 10/12/14 for the next three years and then 20million for the next five. That makes Altuve a lot more in the next three but keeps the Astros with a good deal and then guarantees him $100 mil for his 30-34 years and still leaves him alternatives beyond that.
    Everything depends on whether he wishes to be an Astros player for the long term.

    Like

    • Mr. Bill
      June 30, 2016

      If you ‘buy’ Jose now, you buy through at his highest value. He’s hitting .47 points above his career average and his OBP is .80 over his career average. I love Jose, but even I don’t think he can keep up this crazy pace. Let’s talk in the off-season.

      Like

      • Devin
        June 30, 2016

        It’s worth noting he has 39 walks already. His career high is 40 for an entire season.

        Like

  6. Dan P
    June 30, 2016

    You know back in 2014, after 12 games in the bigs, George Springer had a .170 BA and a .477 OPS and had 1 run scored and 2 RBIs (Reed has 2 runs scored and 1 RBI after 4 games and of course no hit yet). I want to see more of him and want to see what he can bring to the table. He is not hurting them right now because the team is so hot. I just don’t want him to get discouraged.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Mr. Bill
      June 30, 2016

      I agree, Dan. He has the opposite problem of Tyler White – who came up and was immediately [albeit temporarily] successful at an unsustainable ‘player of the week’ level. Tyler hit his first low spot and appeared to panic – especially since no one else on the team was doing well at all. A.J. Reed has much less pressure on him to put up superstar numbers immediately. He can ‘ride’ along with the guys who are tearing it up. He has nowhere to go but up – and he WILL get that first hit sometime.

      Like

      • Mr. Bill
        June 30, 2016

        By the way, does anybody think Reed will start vs. the two White Sox lefties we will face [Chris Sale and Jose Quintana]? If he is going to get that first hit before the ASB, he probably needs to get it Friday night against the righty Gonzalez.

        Like

      • rj
        June 30, 2016

        He has seven more games after the white sox to get a hit before the allstar break, if he doesnt get one during that series.

        Like

      • Mr. Bill
        June 30, 2016

        Speaking of Tyler White – has anyone noticed that since returning to the PCL, he has not walked even once – and has struck out 7 times? Historically he has always walked more than he has struck out. What did we DO to that young man?

        Like

      • Dan P
        June 30, 2016

        I thought Tyler White did not look like the same hitter after about 10 days. Was not staying back, was not hitting to all fields, etc. For a guy who was not that much of a power hitter in the minors, perhaps hitting all those early dingers got him out there diving for pitches and trying to pull everything.

        Like

    • sandy
      June 30, 2016

      I agree Dan, I want him to succeed but he already looks discouraged. The last thing he needs is to be put on the bench for an extended time to think and worry.
      Every time he comes to bat I hold my breath and hope.

      Like

    • daveb7
      June 30, 2016

      One significant difference was that Springers minor league stats at the time pretty much made it impossible NOT to bring him up. We had a lot of discussion about the delay back then. Reed has not shown stats anywhere close to what Springer put up in AAA ball. So I’m still wondering what the hurry was with Reed.

      Like

      • Tim
        June 30, 2016

        To be fair Reed was on the DL and got off to a very slow start in Fresno. His numbers over the past 2 weeks were very good and a sign he might have been ready to be called up. It’s still early so I’m not going to say he shouldn’t have been promoted. He has these 10 games before the ASB to see what he can do.

        Like

  7. Kevin
    June 30, 2016

    Think all they need to do for Reed is tell him to breathe when he is at the plate and loosen his belt 1 notch. He is trying to look to stealth.(-;

    Like

  8. Mr. Bill
    June 30, 2016

    Bud Norris’ resurgence in June will apparently buy him some Dodger Blue. I am just glad we are no longer part of Bud’s drama.

    Liked by 1 person

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      LA seems like a great place for a big mouth.

      Like

  9. Mr. Bill
    June 30, 2016

    Congratulations to Brady Rodgers – who has been named the starting pitcher for the PCL All-Star Game!

    Liked by 1 person

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      He was elected as the starter and Hoyt was elected as the reliever. 13 of the 30 players are elected. Mike Hauschild was also named to the team.

      Like

  10. Mr. Bill
    June 30, 2016

    The Yankees just completed a take-down of the suddenly human Texas Rangers. Final score 2-1. The Rangers only managed 4 hits against Pineda and 3 relievers, while striking out a whopping 16 times. We gain 1/2 game without even putting on the uni.

    Liked by 2 people

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      Now they head to Minnesota to play the Twins.

      Like

      • sandy
        June 30, 2016

        We probably won’t get much help from the Twins. If they can hang in against Texas starting pitchers maybe they can help wear down their bullpen.

        Like

      • MarkW
        June 30, 2016

        Twins at home is actually not the easiest proposition. After giving up 3 of 4 to begin June with the Rays, they have virtually split with the Marlin, Red Sox, Phillie Yankee visitors.

        Both teams will be trying to set the tone as they play again in a week in Arlington.

        All eyes will be on BAL though tonight to see if they can smash their way into history. They are the AL team to beat, in my mind.

        Btw, it’s as good a time as any to say that Marwin has earned his pay already, and I add him to a 2-yr core group right now for $7.5. In fact, he isnt blocking Tucker – as you said, Dave and Devin? He’s not blocking Moran or White, huh, Op? Worth is certainly not ready. Bregman, Teoscar and Fisher are yet unproven. And lets talk about Reed. If he doesnt make contact in the White Sox series, the questions will persist. While I think he belongs, of course, the “holes” in our lineup include him, Castro, (Rasmus and Gomez, now to a lesser degree). Watch who opposing teams pitch around. Those are the guys we have to sign.

        Marwin needs polish in the OF, but he made a helluva full sprint grab yesterday, backing it up with a routine misjudged ball he let sail overhead. I like his future, go-to commraderie from the core guys, swagger and his incredible versatility includes him as a replacement to eight guys just mentioned. I disagree with the comment they dont like him at 1B. Its like having an extra SS on the field with those shifts.

        A big congrats to Luis Valbuena and a 360 OBP! I dont see him “evening out,” Mr Bill. I see him feared by the other team’s pitchers.

        Where I eat crow is with Tyler White. And lets not forget Keuchel. Who would have thunk Kazmir having a better 2016?

        Here’s a question: what happens when DK goes 8-18, and we realize he’s definitely not an ace? Do you adjust the thinking that he belongs in the core, and where’s a LHP replacement?

        Trim the fat week: Sipp, Reed, Worth, Jake. All with potential, all on the bottom of my depth chart. They tried sitting Reed and letting him confer with Hinch. My advice is shorten the swing, and wait for the one FB (cookie) he will see per AB. The league saw his first two shots and adjusted toward off speed. If he cannot hit them, then certainly dont swing, err, fan at it! Stand there and take til they throw dead red. He’s swinging at pitches which end up way out of the strike zone. Trying to do too much has turned to just relaxing into looking up into space for Jesus. He better find himself soon bc we werent getting Freddy Freeman numbers out of 1B, but we certainly arent paying them either.

        Like

  11. Dan P
    June 30, 2016

    Bregman and Hernandez (Teoscar) promoted to AAA

    Liked by 1 person

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      Chan Moon and Jack Mayfield sent back to Corpus Christi to make room.

      Like

  12. sfduke76
    June 30, 2016

    Another look back note: on June 30 last year the Rangers were 40-38, 5 games out and of course went on to win the division by 2 games.

    Rangers W-L record this year is 6 games better than their pythagorean projection, which is a LOT for 1/2 a season. Their 2nd best pitcher Colby Lewis in on the DL for quite awhile (and he’s 36) and Darvish and Holland are both still on the DL. I think they will fall back to the pack somewhat.

    Like

    • Dan P
      June 30, 2016

      I like those stats and thoughts. Should favor us.

      Like

  13. Becky⚾
    June 30, 2016

    This is me ((((( grinning ))))) from ear to ear about the Yankees rangers game today!! Walked it off because of a wild pitch!! Man….couldn’t happen to more deserving team!

    Liked by 2 people

  14. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    This year’s sixth round pick is Stephen Wrenn out of UGA. Tonight he is playing in his 13th professional game and has hit his sixth home run. He has 11 RBIs. He has a nice little double to go with it, but that probably lowered his SLG. He’s not just power because he’s hitting .340. In 50 ABs he has nine walks and 8 Ks. But, it’s early. Wrenn is playing for Tri-City, where most of our top college picks start out.

    Like

  15. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    Teoscar and Bregman get to start their AAA experience against a 31-year old 9-year MLB veteran, Kyle Kendrick. That should be a good test

    Like

    • Mr. Bill
      June 30, 2016

      And the first pitch Bregman sees from Kendrick is his first AAA hit- and leads to his first AAA run scored when PTuck takes Kendrick deep.

      Like

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      And, top of the first in Salt Lake City, Bregman singles and rides home on Tucker’s home run. 2-0 in the 1st.

      Like

      • Mr. Bill
        June 30, 2016

        OP1, that Fresno lineup suddenly looks pretty impressive.

        Like

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      Duh!

      Like

  16. Mr. Bill
    June 30, 2016

    Mr. Bregman and Mr. Hernandez seem to like Triple A.

    Like

  17. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    It’s 21-1 Fresno in the top of the sixth. Bregman with 4 hits, Tucker with 4 hits and 6 RBIs, Kemmer with 3 hits, Moran with 2, Teoscar with 3. The only guy in Fresno’s lineup who is hitless is Tyler White and he has 2 walks and an RBI.
    Kendrick gave up 9 hits and 10 runs in 3.1 innings.

    Like

    • 1oldpro
      June 30, 2016

      Fresno is 12-18 w/ RISP tonight, through 6 innings.

      Like

  18. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    Cy Sneed gave up three runs in his four inning start tonight in a 3-1 CC loss.
    BUT! Kyle Smith was the tandem guy and he threw 5 shutout innings giving up 3 hits and no walks. Smith is starting to round into shape after TJ surgery last year. This was his fifth decent outing in a row.
    After Derek Fisher struck out for the 4th time in 4 ABs in the eighth inning, he got tossed by the home plate umpire. I’d bet Derek might have said something.
    There were 20 strikeouts total in this game and 13 of them were called strike three.

    Like

    • Dan P
      July 1, 2016

      My son was at this game and said the umpire was a wee bit generous on the strike zone.
      He was a bit disappointed he would not get to see Bregman at Corpus and Bregman did not disappoint at Fresno.

      Like

  19. 1oldpro
    June 30, 2016

    Preston Tucker hits his 3rd HR of the night, all with Bregman on base. 23-3 in the bottom of the 8th.
    G’night.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. Tim
    July 1, 2016

    I get that some have not liked the trades Luhnow has made and some definitely will not work in the Astros favor, but there is still plenty of talent in this organization and, if the rumors are true, the Astros are expected to spend big in the International market this year. This team is still set up to compete for several years and I think the slow start in April this year was more of an aberration than what we are seeing now. There will probably be some more trades this year, and some of you will groan and probably not like them, but I still think they are heading in the right direction.

    Like

  21. TNT
    July 1, 2016

    Does anyone think Bregmen will be brought to the big club this season given Valbuenas resurgence and Marwins consistency and Assuming Correa remains healthy ?

    Like

    • Dan P
      July 1, 2016

      Well our DH production still stinks – .177 BA / .273 OPS / .583 OPS – Bregman could at least help with that

      Like

      • 1oldpro
        July 1, 2016

        Great comment. We still have the worst DH stats in the AL.

        Like

      • Dan P
        July 1, 2016

        DH has been a black hole since the team moved to the AL and it makes no sense that it is this bad. Maybe the problem is that the DH sits next to Dave Hudgens the whole time and does not get to go into the field and clear his head of whatever nonsense is being sent his way.

        Liked by 1 person

      • sandy
        July 1, 2016

        Priceless!

        Like

      • daveb7
        July 1, 2016

        Valbuena has been a key to the club turning things around. But his lifetime OBP is still .316 and OPS just over .700. It would be wonderful for him to keep doing what he’s doing, but based on his career stats, he’ll be coming back to earth sooner than later. If Bregman keeps hitting in Fresno, I think we’ll see him.

        This club will only get better if Marwin ultimately moves back into his utility role. Ideally, Reed will start hitting and take ownership of first. I think right now anyway, the plan is for Reed and Bregman to take over the two corners. I’m good with that.

        Like

  22. TNT
    July 1, 2016

    Valbuena could become valuable as a trading piece for a pitcher or another OFer.

    Like

  23. Dan P
    July 1, 2016

    I did want to point out that there is a new post that for the moment is placed in the second position on the home page instead of the top spot. Look for Goofy.

    Like

    • 1oldpro
      July 1, 2016

      I was just going to do the same thing. Let’s talk goofy, Goofy….Goofily…..whatever!

      Like

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This entry was posted on June 27, 2016 by in Astros.
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