Pondering stats, questions and things that go bug in the night
Sitting at Starbucks with a nice, warm venti white chocolate mocha with sleet falling outside and watching the world around me while wondering about some questions as the spring season gets underway in Florida. Would you be able to help with your thoughts on my answers and a different perspective on the questions?
Thank you in advance.
When will the Astros have a normal franchise?
- It’s been awhile, but the Astros could easily have employed the slogan “Don’t try this at home” over the past few years. It would be nice to experience an under-the-radar type season, free at least of the PR and other debacles that have plagued the Astros for the last decade. There are too many to list here, but they began shortly after the World Series appearance and have continued through the early years of the Crane Administration.
- Question: Are the Astros just cursed, or will 2015 be more of a normal season?
Who will be the next legitimate Astros’ ROY candidate?
- With so many high draft choices and even those who have joined the organization through trade, shouldn’t the Astros have had a player or two in Rookie of the Year consideration? It’s a small thing perhaps and it’s probably low on the organization’s totem pole, but Jon Singleton and George Springer should have been groomed as candidates. You could argue that others were pushed along ahead of schedule, thereby “eliminating” them from the consideration. Jose Altuve was a mid-season addition and even Matt Dominguez was pushed.
- The real question actually relates to the first. Does an organization in disarray (read: without a farm system and forced to work with a patchy roster) force the hand and upset the normal routine enough to keep players from “participating” in the normal activity of awards, etc.?
- Question: Who has the best shot at becoming the next Rookie of the Year for Houston?
- Question 2: Should the Astros plan a smooth transition early enough in the year for players like Carlos Correa and Mark Appel to garner the stats to be considered?
If an individual player delivered these lines at his position this year, would you be good with that?
- Fifth starter. 30 starts, 160 IP, 4.30 ERA, 1.4 WHIP, .250 BAA, .280 BAbip. Record of .500 or just under.
- First base. 130 GS, 25 2B, 20 HR, 75 RBI, .250 BA, .350 OBP, .800 OPS.
And, how about these players? If you could cement these numbers now for the season, would you do it?
- Springer. 140 G, .270 BA, .330 OBP, .800 OPS, 25 HR, 80 RBI, 160 K.
- Castro. 125 G, .240 BA, .300 OBP, .720 OPS, 15 HR, 60 RBI, 160 K.
- Keuchel. 30 starts, 190 IP, 3.30 ERA, 1.2 WHIP, .250 BAA, .300 BAbip. 15 wins.
- Scott Feldman. 30 starts, 190 IP, 3.75 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, .260 BAA, .290 BAbip, 12-13 wins.
Does it bug you that… Does it still bug you that … Or, How much does it bug you that …
- The Astros could have had Carlos Rodon and Kris Bryant on the field this season?
- Jonathan Villar, Dominguez or Robbie Grossman are still in the organization?
- Jeff Luhnow seems content to set a team strikeout record — and perhaps a MLB record — with the roster and lineup he’s putting in place?
- Springer could play his entire Astros’ career in right field?
- Houston is playing in the American League?
- The Astros may have better solutions than Singleton and Luis Valbuena at the corners, but may go with that at the start of the season anyway?
Thank you for your help. By the way, one of the questions above was a sort of trick question. The fifth starter line essentially belongs to Roberto Hernandez (2014) and the first base numbers are the cumulative totals for Singleton at AAA. If those are acceptable, there is some historical evidence they are attainable this season.