Astros: A look at recent top 5’s in WAR

WAR is a controversial stat in baseball, and I will be the first to say that it is not always very accurate when comparing certain players. But in general, it is a decent way to compare the value of players across positions for a season.

Today, we will take a few minutes to look at the Astros’ top 5 position players and top 5 pitchers across a few recent seasons, from the 2022 Championship season up to 2025. Note – All numbers are taken from baseball-reference.com.

2025 – Top 5 Position Players

PlayerWARGames
Jeremy Pena5.6125
Yainer Diaz2.7143
Jake Meyers2.4102
Isaac Paredes2.3134
Cam Smith1.9133

Total Position Players 2025 – 19 WAR

If you want to see the big difference between a 2022 Championship team’s position players and a 2025 team that misses the playoffs, look at those WAR numbers: 30 vs. 19. Also, Jeremy Pena is all alone at the top – no one above 3 besides him. In 2022, the top five position players were 4.5 and above. The biggest surprise here is seeing Cam Smith ranked in the top 5, and not Jose Altuve. That is a testament to the difference in their fielding impact.

2025 – Top 5 Pitchers

PlayerWARGames
Hunter Brown6.131
Framber Valdez3.831
Bryan Abreu2.670
Josh Hader2.348
Bryan King1.769

Total Pitchers 2025 – 21.7 WAR

Probably most telling is that there are only two starting pitchers in the top 5 in this list. This reflects how many pitchers had to rotate through those three or four starting spots behind Hunter Brown and Framber Valdez. Just like Pena, Brown totally stands far above the others in the top spot. Another point of note is Abreu edging out Hader for the third spot. Hader’s injury was the difference there as he pitched in about 70% as many games as his bullpen mate.

2024 – Top 5 Position Players

PlayerWARGames
Yordan Alvarez5.4147
Kyle Tucker4.778
Alex Bregman4.1145
Jeremy Pena4.1157
Jose Altuve3.4153

Total Position Players 2024 – 26.3 WAR

A much stronger WAR season for the position players. Alvarez and Altuve play almost full seasons, and of course, Tucker and Bregman were still with the team. Tucker may have put up the most amazing number here – 4.7 WAR in only 78 games. If you factor that up to 150 games, that would be around 9 WAR, in Aaron Judge’s neighborhood.

2024 – Top 5 Pitchers

PlayerWARGames
Ronel Blanco4.430
Framber Valdez4.428
Hunter Brown2.631
Tayler Scott1.762
Bryan Abreu1.678

Total Pitchers 2024 – 16.9 WAR

Overall, the pitching was much worse in 2024 than in 2025 for the Astros. Imagine what it would have been without Ronel Blanco, who was at the top of their starters with Framber the whole season. Josh Hader did not crack the top 5 with a 0.6 WAR, trailing fellow relievers Scott and Abreu in his first season with the club.

2023 – Top 5 Position Players

PlayerWARGames
Kyle Tucker5.5157
Alex Bregman4.9161
Yordan Alvarez4.5114
Jeremy Pena3.9150
Chas McCormick3.4115

Total Position Players 2023 – 31.5 WAR

Oh, Chas-man, what happened to you? 3.4 WAR in 115 games (because Dusty Baker did not like him that much) and falling quickly to being let go two seasons later. This was a potent set of position players, producing more WAR than the 2022 championship team. Yordan would have led this team, but 114 games does not cut it. Jose Altuve was 7th behind young Yainer Diaz.

2023 – Top 5 Pitchers

PlayerWARGames
Framber Valdez3.231
Hector Neris2.671
Bryan Abreu2.572
J.P. France1.624
Justin Verlander1.311

Total Pitchers 2023 – 15.4 WAR

Hector Neris? Second? I’d forgotten how strong his 2023 season was already. This was a weaker season for Astros pitching, as Hunter Brown and Cristian Javier did not pitch particularly well. Verlander did return at the trade deadline to give the team a boost down the stretch.

2022 – Top 5 Position Players

PlayerWARGames
Yordan Alvarez6.8135
Kyle Tucker5.5150
Jose Altuve5.2141
Jeremy Pena5.0136
Alex Bregman4.5155

Total Position Players 2022 – 30.8 WAR

A very strong offense, as we discussed above. I remember Pena dominating in the postseason, but I did not remember him performing this well in the regular season. Of course, his glove was probably a big part of it stat-wise. Altuve had his last big season in WAR in 2022. And of course, the trio of Alvarez, Tucker and Bregman were big producers.

2022 – Top 5 Pitchers

PlayerWARGames
Justin Verlander5.628
Cristian Javier3.630
Framber Valdez3.431
Ryne Stanek2.159
Lance McCullers Jr.1.48

Total Pitchers 2022 – 23.7 WAR

JV’s huge season after returning from his TJ surgery led an excellent effort from the pitching staff. I would never have guessed that Stanek would be the only reliever in this top 5. This underscores that, though Ryan Pressly was an excellent reliever for the Astros, he was not much of a WAR contributor.

This was an interesting exercise. What stands out to you here?

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